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| 1 | 临界转换的早期预警信号显示文摘从生态系统到金融市场和气候在内的很多复杂动力系统,都会有临界点,在这样的点上系统可能会发生突变,从而演变到一个对立的动力模式上。在这样的临界点到达之前对其进行预测极为困难,但是现在,不同科学领域的研究工作表明,普遍性的早期预警信号有迹可循。对一系列不同类型的系统来说,这些信号会指示是否正在趋近一个临界阈值。 | Marten Scheffer Jordi Bascompte William A. Brock Victor Brovkin Stephen R. Carpenter Vasilis Dakos Hermann Held Egbert H. van Nes Max Rietkerk George Sugihara 李迎春 闫伟 蒋长胜(译) 左玉玲(校) | 2009 | 国际地震动态2009，，9： | 2 |
| 2 | Determining Robust Impacts of Land-Use-Induced Land Cover Changes on Surface Climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the First Set of LUCID Experiments显示文摘 | de Noblet-Ducoudré Nathalie Boisier Juan-Pablo Pitman Andy Bonan G B Brovkin V Cruz Faye Delire C Gayler V van den Hurk B J J M Lawrence P J van der Molen M K Müller C Reick C H Strengers B J Voldoire A | 2012 | EN2012，，9： | 1 |
| 3 | Determining Robust Impacts of Land-Use-Induced Land Cover Changes on Surface Climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the First Set of LUCID Experiments显示文摘 | de Noblet-Ducoudré Nathalie Boisier Juan-Pablo Pitman Andy Bonan G B Brovkin V Cruz Faye Delire C Gayler V van den Hurk B J J M Lawrence P J van der Molen M K Müller C Reick C H Strengers B J Voldoire A | 2012 | EN2012，，9： | 1 |
| 4 | Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study显示文摘 | Pitman A. J. Noblet-Ducoudré N. de Cruz F. T. Davin E. L. Bonan G. B. Brovkin V. Claussen M. Delire C. Ganzeveld L. Gayler V. J. M. van den Hurk B. J. Lawrence P. J. van der Molen M. K. Müller C. Reick C. H. Seneviratne S. I. Strengers B. | 2009 | Geophysical Research Letters2009，，14： | 1 |
| 5 | Combined biogeophysical and biogeochemical effects of large-scale forest cover changes in the MPI earth system model显示文摘 | Bathiany S. Claussen M. Brovkin V. Raddatz T. Gayler V | 2010 | Biogeosciences2010，，68： | 1 |
| 6 | Assessing climate forcings of the Earth system for the past millennium显示文摘 | Bauer E Claussen E M Brovkin V | 2003 | Geophysical Research Letters2003，31，12： | 1 |
| 7 | A continuous climatevegetation classification for use in climate-biosphere studies 显示文摘 | Brovkin V Ganopolski A Svirezhev Y | 1997 | Ecological Modelling1997，101，： | 1 |
| 8 | New assessment focuses on ecosystems, human well-being, and the climate system 显示文摘 | Brovkin V House J I DeFries R S | 2006 | EOS Transactions AGU2006，87，5： | 1 |
| 9 | The greening of the McGill Paleoclimate Model. Part I: Improved land surface scheme with vegetation dynamics显示文摘 | Yi Wang Lawrence A. Mysak Zhaomin Wang Victor Brovkin | 2005 | Climate Dynamics2005，，5： | 1 |
| 10 | The greening of the McGill Paleoclimate Model. Part II: Simulation of Holocene millennial-scale natural climate changes显示文摘 | Yi Wang Lawrence A. Mysak Zhaomin Wang Victor Brovkin | 2005 | Climate Dynamics2005，，5： | 1 |
| 11 | Ocean methane hydrates as a slow tipping point in the global carbon cycle 显示文摘 | Archer D Buffett B Brovkin V | 2009 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2009，106，20： | 1 |
| 12 | CLIMBER-2: a climate system model of intermediate complexity. Part I: model description and performance for present climate显示文摘 | V. Petoukhov A. Ganopolski V. Brovkin M. Claussen A. Eliseev C. Kubatzki S. Rahmstorf | 2000 | Climate Dynamics2000，，1： | 1 |
| 13 | Simulated global-scale response of the climate system to Dansgaard/Oeschger and Heinrich events 显示文摘 | Claussen M Ganopolski A Brovkin V Gerstengarbe F-W Werner P | 2003 | Climate Dynamics2003，21，： | 1 |
| 14 | Did humankind prevent a Holocene glaciation? Comment on Ruddiman's hypothesis of a pre-historic Anthropoccne显示文摘 | Claussen M Brovkin V Calov R | 2005 | Climatic Change2005，69，： | 1 |
| 15 | Strategy for a fire module in dynamic global vegetation models 显示文摘 | FOSBERG M A CRAMER W BROVKIN V | 1999 | International Journal of Wildland Fire1999，9，： | 1 |
| 16 | Advanced age,low left atrial appendage velocity, and factor V promoter se- quence variation as predictors of left atrial thrombosis in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation 显示文摘 | Zateyshchikov DA Brovkin AN Chistiakov DA | 2010 | J Thromb Thrombolysis2010，30，： | 1 |
| 17 | A continuous climate vegetation classification for use in climate-biosphere studies 显示文摘 | Brovkin V Ganopolski A Svirezhev Y | 1997 | Ecological Modelling1997，101，： | 1 |
| 18 | Assessing climate forcings of the Earth system for the past millennium显示文摘 | Bauer E Claussen M Brovkin V | 2003 | Geophysical Research Letters2003，30，6： | 1 |
| 19 | Dynamics of radiocar- bon in soils显示文摘 | Cherkinsky A E Brovkin V A | 1993 | Radiocarbon1993，35，3： | 1 |
| 20 | CLIMBER-2:a climate system model of intermediate complexity显示文摘 | Petoukhov V Ganopolski A Brovkin V | 1999 | Climate Dynamics1999，16，： | 1 |
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