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| 1 | Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts for the Yangtze River Basin of China in Summer 2019 from an Improved Climate Service显示文摘Rainfall forecasts for the summer monsoon season in the Yangtze River basin(YRB) allow decision-makers to plan for possible flooding, which can affect the lives and livelihoods of millions of people. A trial climate service was developed in 2016, producing a prototype seasonal forecast product for use by stakeholders in the region, based on rainfall forecasts directly from a dynamical model. Here, we describe an improved service based on a simple statistical downscaling approach. Through using dynamical forecast of an East Asian summer monsoon(EASM) index, seasonal mean rainfall for the upper and middle/lower reaches of YRB can be forecast separately by use of the statistical downscaling, with significant skills for lead times of up to at least three months. The skill in different sub-basin regions of YRB varies with the target season. The rainfall forecast skill in the middle/lower reaches of YRB is significant in May–June–July(MJJ), and the forecast skill for rainfall in the upper reaches of YRB is significant in June–July–August(JJA). The mean rainfall for the basin as a whole can be skillfully forecast in both MJJ and JJA. The forecasts issued in 2019 gave good guidance for the enhanced rainfall in the MJJ period and the near-average conditions in JJA. Initial feedback from users in the basin suggests that the improved forecasts better meet their needs and will enable more robust decision-making. | Philip E.BETT Nicola MARTIN Adam A.SCAIFE Nick DUNSTONE Gill M.MARTIN Nicola GOLDING Joanne CAMP Peiqun ZHANG Chris D.HEWITT Leon HERMANSON Chaofan LI Hong-Li REN Ying LIU Min LIU | 2020 | Journal of Meteorological Research2020，34，5： | 7 |
| 2 | 1282名驾驶员焦虑水平与危险驾驶关系研究显示文摘目的探讨驾驶员焦虑水平与危险驾驶行为的关系。方法采用问卷调查法,分别使用贝克焦虑量表与Dula危险驾驶行为量表(DDDI-Dula Dangerous Driving Index)对1 282名驾驶员的焦虑水平与危险驾驶行为进行了评价并研究分析两者之间的相关性;对不同焦虑水平驾驶员的危险行为进行方差分析及秩和检验。结果(1)焦虑总分与危险驾驶量表总分以及三个子量表分数呈显著性正相关(P<0.01),(2)由方差分析和秩和检验显示,处于不同焦虑水平的驾驶员其危险驾驶行为在以下方面存在不同(P<0.05):DDDI总分、负面情绪驾驶、攻击性驾驶、危险驾驶、过去2周中尾随的数量、过去两周中阻碍其他车辆驾驶的数量、过去2周中超速且超过限速15英里/时的次数、过去两周中闯红灯的数量,过去两周内超速驶入应停车减速的区域的次数、过去3年中驾驶肇事次数以及过去一年中影响下驾驶的次数。结论驾驶员的焦虑水平可以影响危险驾驶行为,危险驾驶行为与高焦虑水平具有一定关系。 | 孙舒放 Chris S. Dula Cristi L. Adams | 2009 | 广东医学2009，30，10： | 4 |
| 3 | Physicochemical aspects of allanite flotation显示文摘This paper investigated the physicochemical properties of allanite, a RE-silicate, by measuring zeta potential in the absence and presence of three different flotation collectors(benzohydroxamic acid, sodium oleate and dodecylamine). This data was then verified by microflotation experiments and with bubble-particle attachment pictures. The investigated properties of allanite were compared to those of quartz, a common gangue mineral in many RE deposits. The results of this work indicated that only dodecylamine was able to achieve a selective separation of allanite and quartz. This was accomplished by lowering the dodecylamine dosage so that only quartz was recovered by microflotation. | Adam Jordens Chris Marion Olga Kuzmina Kristian E.Waters | 2014 | Journal of Rare Earths2014，32，5： | 3 |
| 4 | Seasonal Forecasts of the Summer 2016 Yangtze River Basin Rainfall显示文摘The Yangtze River has been subject to heavy flooding throughout history,and in recent times severe floods such as those in 1998 have resulted in heavy loss of life and livelihoods.Dams along the river help to manage flood waters,and are important sources of electricity for the region.Being able to forecast high-impact events at long lead times therefore has enormous potential benefit.Recent improvements in seasonal forecasting mean that dynamical climate models can start to be used directly for operational services.The teleconnection from El Ni ?no to Yangtze River basin rainfall meant that the strong El Ni ?no in winter 2015/16 provided a valuable opportunity to test the application of a dynamical forecast system.This paper therefore presents a case study of a real-time seasonal forecast for the Yangtze River basin,building on previous work demonstrating the retrospective skill of such a forecast.A simple forecasting methodology is presented,in which the forecast probabilities are derived from the historical relationship between hindcast and observations.Its performance for2016 is discussed.The heavy rainfall in the May–June–July period was correctly forecast well in advance.August saw anomalously low rainfall,and the forecasts for the June–July–August period correctly showed closer to average levels.The forecasts contributed to the confidence of decision-makers across the Yangtze River basin.Trials of climate services such as this help to promote appropriate use of seasonal forecasts,and highlight areas for future improvements. | Philip E. BETT Adam A. SCAIFE Chaofan LI Chris HEWITT Nicola GOLDING Peiqun ZHANG Nick DUNSTONE Doug M. SMITH Hazel E. THORNTON Riyu LU Hong-Li REN | 2018 | Advances in Atmospheric Sciences2018，35，8： | 3 |
| 5 | Verification of the 2019 GloSea5 Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Landfall Forecast for East China显示文摘A prototype climate service was developed and trialled in early 2019 to provide seasonal forecast of the June–July–August(JJA) tropical cyclone(TC) landfall risk for the East China region ahead of the forthcoming typhoon season.Test forecasts were produced in both March and April 2019 and a final forecast was released to the China Meteorological Administration(CMA) on 1 May 2019. The trial service was produced by using the Met Office Global Seasonal forecast system(GloSea5), and a forecast of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH) index was used to infer the TC landfall risk based on a simple linear regression between historical model WPSH indices and observed TC landfalls in East China. The forecast method shows significant skill for forecasting the JJA TC landfall risk in East China with up to three-month lead time, with the greatest skill for predictions initialized in May. The 2019 forecast provided good guidance of the near-average TC activity observed in East China in JJA 2019. Success of the forecast adds confidence to an improved climate service ahead of the 2020 typhoon season. | Joanne CAMP Philip E.BETT Nicola GOLDING Chris D.HEWITT Timothy D.MITCHELL Adam A.SCAIFE | 2020 | Journal of Meteorological Research2020，34，5： | 2 |
| 6 | A single nucleotide polymorphism in the first intron of the human IFN-γ gene:显示文摘 | Vera Pravica Chris Perrey Adam Stevens Jar-How Lee Ian V Hutchinson | 2000 | Human Immunology2000，，9： | 2 |
| 7 | Endogenous Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Slows Gastric Emptying in Healthy Subjects, Attenuating Postprandial Glycemia显示文摘 | Adam M. Deane Nam Q. Nguyen Julie E. Stevens Robert J. L. Fraser Richard H. Holloway Laura K. Besanko Carly Burgstad Karen L. Jones Marianne J. Chapman Chris K. Rayner Michael Horowitz | 2010 | The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism2010，，1： | 1 |
| 8 | The effect of neoprene shorts on leg proprioception in Australian football players显示文摘 | MATTHEW L CAMERON ROGER D ADAMS CHRIS G MAHER B | 2008 | Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport2008，11，： | 1 |
| 9 | Complications of epilepsy surgery in the first 8 years after neurosurgical training显示文摘 | A. Chris Heller Rachelle V. Padilla Adam N. Mamelak | 2009 | Surgical Neurology2009，，6： | 1 |
| 10 | Multiple Grating Simultaneously Formed in Holographic Polymer- dispered Liquid Crystal显示文摘 | Chris C Bowley Adam K Fontecchio Gregory P Crawfod | 2000 | Appl Phys Lett2000，76，： | 1 |
| 11 | The performance Prism:The Scorecard for measuring and Managing Stakaholder Relationships显示文摘 | Andy Neely Chris Adams Mike Kennerley | 2002 | Prentice Hall2002，，： | 1 |
| 12 | The Performance Prism in Practice显示文摘 | Andy Neely Chris Adams Paul Crowe | 2001 | Measuring Business Excellence2001，，5： | 1 |
| 13 | Nantotechniques and Approaches in Biotechnology显示文摘 | ADAM C CHRIS W | 2001 | Trends in Biotechnology2001，19，3： | 1 |
| 14 | The Performance Prism Perspective 显示文摘 | Andy Neely Chris Adams | 2001 | Journal of Cost Management2001，15，1： | 1 |
| 15 | The NEPTUNE Canada Regional Cabled Ocean Observatory显示文摘 | Barnes Chris R Best Mairi M R Zielinski Adam | 2008 | Sea Technology2008，，7： | 1 |
| 16 | Incisionless revision of post-Roux-en- Y bypass stomal and pouch dilation: multicenter registry results显示文摘 | Santiago Horgan Garth Jacobsen G. Derek Weiss John S. Oldham Peter M. Denk Frank Borao Steven Gorcey Brad Watkins John Mobley Kari Thompson Adam Spivack Dave Voellinger Chris Thompson Lee Swanstrom Paresh Shah Greg Haber Matthew Brengman Gregory Schroder | 2010 | Surgery for Obesity and Related Diseases2010，，3： | 1 |
| 17 | The Compressive Behavior of the Human Glenoid Labrum May Explain the Common Patterns of SLAP Lesions显示文摘 | Chris D. Smith Spyridon D. Masouros Adam M. Hill Andrew L. Wallace Andrew A. Amis Anthony M.J. Bull | 2009 | Arthroscopy: The Journal of Arthroscopic and Related Surgery2009，，5： | 1 |
| 18 | Association Between Celiac Disease and Iron Deficiency in Caucasians, but Not Non-Caucasians显示文摘 | Joseph A. Murray Stela McLachlan Paul C. Adams John H. Eckfeldt Chad P. Garner Chris D. Vulpe Victor R. Gordeuk Tricia Brantner Catherine Leiendecker–Foster Anthony A. Killeen Ronald T. Acton Lisa F. Barcellos Debbie A. Nickerson Kenneth B. Beckman Gordon | 2013 | Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology2013，，7： | 1 |
| 19 | An analysis of returned medicines in primary care显示文摘 | Chris Langley John Marriott Adam Mackridge Richard Daniszewski | 2007 | Pharmacy World & Science2007，27，4： | 1 |
| 20 | Automated quantitative analysis of angiogenesis in the rat aorta model using Image-Pro Plus 4.1显示文摘 | Rebecca J Blatt Adam N Clark Jama Courtney Chris Tully Amy L Tucker | 2003 | Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine2003，，1： | 1 |
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