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| 1 | Spatial pattern and decadal change of agro-meteorological disasters in the main wheat production area of China during 1991-2009显示文摘Agro-meteorological disasters(AMD) have become more frequent with climate warming. In this study, the temporal and spatial changes in the occurrence frequency of major meteorological disasters on wheat production were firstly explored by analyzing the observed records at national agro-meteorological stations(AMS) of China from 1991 to 2009. Furthermore, impact of climate change on AMD was discussed by comparing the warmer decade(2000–2009) with another decade(1991–2000). It was found that drought was the most frequent disaster during the last two decades, with a highest proportion of 79%. And the frequency of AMD increased significantly with climate change. Specifically, the main disasters occurred more frequently in the reproductive period than in the vegetative period. Besides, the spatial changes in the AMD frequency were characterized by region-specific. For example, the wheat cultivation areas located on the Loess Plateau and the middle-lower reaches of the Yellow River suffered mainly from drought. All these results were strongly linked to climate change in China. Therefore, sound adaptation options should be taken based on the latest changes of AMD under global warming to reduce agricultural damages. | ZHANG Zhao WANG Pin CHEN Yi ZHANG Shuai TAO Fulu LIU Xiaofei | 2014 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2014，24，3： | 19 |
| 2 | Impact of chilling injury and global warming on rice yield in Heilongjiang Province显示文摘这研究为米饭集中于索引在 Heilongjiang 省的寒心的损害在 19602009 期间。第一,我们比较了由与传统的方法种密度的米饭加权的一个新导出的气候数据,并且发现新的是更合理的在庄稼收益上估计气候变化的影响。就在第二,寒心的索引由气象学、国家、国际的层次定义的省寒心的米饭的频率和紧张而言被估计。,结果证明气象学的标准对延期类型损害合适国际的,在阀值(GDDn ) 下面种度白天的所谓的和,描绘的最好为米饭的无菌类型的寒心的损害。当二个独立变量到达了约 92% ,包括两损害的米饭收益时间系列模型的解释能力打字(p < 0.05 ) 。最后,我们断定到米饭收益的人和天气因素的贡献率是大约87.2%和12.8%分别地,并且作为光增加的趋势因为无菌类型的寒心的损害在在最近的年里出发到流动时期期间被发现,为在未来在 Heilongjiang 省种的米饭显示高寒心的风险全球温暖。 | LIU Xiaofei ZHANG Zhao SHUAI Jiabing WANG Pin SHI Wenjiao TAO Fulu CHEN Yi | 2013 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2013，23，1： | 16 |
| 3 | A review on statistical models for identifying climate contributions to crop yields显示文摘在庄稼收益和天气上使用历史的数据校准相对简单的回归方程的统计模型广泛地并且广泛地在以前的研究被使用了,并且提供了一种普通选择给基于过程的模型,它在栽培变种,管理,和土壤条件上要求广泛的输入数据。然而,很少的研究被进行了系统地考察以前的统计模型让 indentifying 气候贡献收割收益。这份报纸介绍三个主要统计方法,即,时间系列模型,剖面图模型和面板当模特儿,它被用来在 agrometeorology 的领域里识别如此的问题。通常,研究空间规模能用统计模型被分成二种类型,包括地点规模和地区性的规模(例如全球规模,国家规模,省的规模和县可伸缩) 。四个问题在由统计模型识别庄稼收益的反应敏感到气候变化存在。这些问题包括空间、时间的规模的程度,非气候的趋势移动, colinearity 在气候变量和改编的非考虑存在。为上述四个问题的各自的决定最后在统计模型的未来上在观点的节被提出了。 | SHI Wenjiao TAO Fulu ZHANG Zhao | 2013 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2013，23，3： | 14 |
| 4 | Impact of urban expansion on meteorological observation data and overestimation to regional air temperature in China显示文摘自从改革的实现并且在 1970 年代末在中国开创政策,一些气象学的车站由于城市的扩大消极地进入了城市。在在车站附近的表面和开发环境的变化影响了空气温度的观察。当来自城市的车站的观察数据在公民或地区性的规模空气温度数据集的插值被使用时,他们能导致地区性的空气温度的 overestimation 和对温暖的不精密的评价。在这研究,越过中国包围 756 个气象学的车站的内在的表面在很多时间间隔上基于遥感图象被识别区分进入了城市的农村车站。在把观察数据从被城市的扩大影响了的这些车站移开以后,然后,背景空气温度的数据集被插入内推产生从仍然保持农村的观察数据驻扎。吝啬的城市的热岛效果紧张自从 1970 被从城市的车站把原来的观察记录与背景空气作比较估计,温度插入内推。结果证明那城市的热岛效果确实由于城市的扩大发生,与在比在另外的季节的冬季的更高的紧张。然后,地区性的空气温度的 overestimation 被比较分别地由所有车站和农村车站被插入内推的空气温度的二种格子数据集评估观察数据。空间地, overestimation 比在中国的中央部分在东方中国是相对更高的;然而,两个区域比的展出高得多的效果在西方的中国被观察。我们在最后 40 年里结束了那在中国的温度增加了大约 1.58 的平均数,降水,浅地面温度和 NDVI,哪个 3 吗?? | SHAO Quanqin SUN Chaoyang LIU Jiyuan HE Jianfeng KUANG wenhui TAO Fulu | 2011 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2011，21，6： | 10 |
| 5 | Contributions of climate, varieties, and agronomic management to rice yield change in the past three decades in China显示文摘和一个庄稼模拟模型,在四个代表性的 agro 气象学的车站的长期的地实验数据被用来在过去的三十年解开大米收益变化的气候变化,变化更新,和授精管理的贡献。我们发现在 1981-2009 变化期间,更新由 16%-52% 增加了米饭产量,管理改进由产量从 16% ~ 10% 改变了的米饭的气候变化的 0-16% ,和贡献增加了产量。变化更新和气候的否定影响在米饭生产上改变的管理改进偏移量。在主要气候变量之中,在太阳的放射的减少到 0.1%per 年平均减少了米饭产量。温度变化的影响有一个明确的空间模式。它在 Tongcheng 车站在 Xinbin 和 Ganyu 车站并且为迟了的米饭为单个米饭每年由 0.04%-0.4% 增加了产量,由在 Tongcheng 在 Mianyang 车站和早米饭为单个米饭每年由 0.2%-0.4% 对比减少的产量车站。在 1981-2009 期间,米饭变化更新被热要求的增加描绘,谷物数字每尖铁和收获索引。新变化比旧的对气候变化不太敏感。高热的要求,高收益潜力和热的发展和农学的管理的改进,容忍的米饭变化应该被鼓励在未来遇见气候变化和增加的食物需求的挑战。 | He ZHANG Fulu TAO Dengpan XIAO Wenjiao SHI Fengshan LIU Shuai ZHANG Yujie LIU Meng WANG Huizi BAI | 2016 | Frontiers of Earth Science2016，10，2： | 5 |
| 6 | Influences of agricultural phenology dynamic on land surface biophysical process and climate feedback显示文摘到气候变化的土地表面过程的反应和反馈是地球科学的领域里的研究优先级之一。学习在陆地表面过程上对全球变化的影响给予了更多的注意的水流,而是到气候变化的陆地表面过程的反馈是糟糕理解。系统地理解在农业物候学之间的关系在地球系统科学的框架下面正在变得越来越有意义气候上的动态、生物物理的过程,以及反馈。在这篇论文,我们在这个领域里总结了研究进步,包括农业物候学变化,在土地表面进步模型动态的物候学的 parameterization,对气候的在生物物理的过程上动态的农业物候学的影响,以及它的反馈的事实。结果证明农业 phenophase,由象播种, flowering 和成熟那样的关键 phenological 阶段代表了,由于气候变化和农学的管理的影响显著地变了。土地的数字表情出现动态过程和大气的过程,被联合在土地动态的物候学改进表面模型。农业物候学动态影响了网放射,潜伏的热,理智的热,反照率,温度,降水,循环,在划分的表面精力和气候反馈起一个重要作用。认为在陆地表面动态的农业物候学的重要性是生物物理的过程和气候反馈,下列研究优先级应该被强调:(1 ) 在气候之间的相互作用变化并且登陆表面物候学动态;(2 ) 在动态的农业物候学和土地之间的关系出现在不同系列的反射率;(3 ) 土地的庄稼生理学特征变化的贡献出现生物物理的过程;(4 ) 从在不同气候地区动态的物候学的气候反馈的地区性的差别。这评论是有用的加速在陆地表面过程和气候反馈动态的农业物候学的角色的理解。 | LIU Fengshan CHEN Ying SHI Wenjiao ZHANG Shuai TAO Fulu GE Quansheng | 2017 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2017，27，9： | 3 |
| 7 | Performance of Temperature-Related Weather Index for Agricultural Insurance of Three Main Crops in China显示文摘In this study, two categories of weather index—absolute index and relative index—for chilling injury and heat damage of three main crops in China were assessed to identify insurable counties. First, correlations between selected weather indices and yield losses were examined for each county. If a correlation was significant, the county was categorized as ‘‘insurable'' for the corresponding hazard or index. Second, the spatial distribution of insurable counties was characterized and finally, their correlation coefficients were analyzed at various spatial scales.The results show that the spatial patterns of insurable areas varied by categories of weather indices, crops, and hazards.Moreover, the weather indices based on relative threshold of temperature were more suitable for chilling injury in most regions, whereas the indices based on absolute threshold were more suitable for heat damage. The findings could help the Chinese government and insurance companies to design effective insurance products. | Jing Zhang Zhao Zhang Fulu Tao | 2017 | International Journal of Disaster Risk Science2017，8，1： | 2 |
| 8 | Remote sensing of crop production in China by production efficiency models: models comparisons, estimates and uncertainties显示文摘 | Fulu Tao Masayuki Yokozawa Zhao Zhang Yinlong Xu Yousay Hayashi | 2004 | Ecological Modelling2004，，4： | 2 |
| 9 | Spatial and Temporal Changes in Vapor Pressure Deficit and Their Impacts on Crop Yields in China during 1980–2008显示文摘Vapor pressure deficit(VPD) is a widely used measure of atmospheric water demand. It is closely related to crop evapotranspiration and consequently has major impacts on crop growth and yields. Most previous studies have focused on the impacts of temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation on crop yields, but the impact of VPD is poorly understood. Here, we investigated the spatial and temporal changes in VPD and their impacts on yields of major crops in China from 1980 to 2008. The results showed that VPD during the growing period of rice, maize, and soybean increased by more than 0.10kPa(10 yr)^(–1) in northeastern and southeastern China, although it increased the least during the wheat growing period. Increases in VPD had different impacts on yields for different crops and in different regions. Crop yields generally decreased due to increased VPD, except for wheat in southeastern China. Maize yield was sensitive to VPD in more counties than other crops. Soybean was the most sensitive and rice was the least sensitive to VPD among the major crops. In the past three decades, due to the rising trend in VPD, wheat, maize, and soybean yields declined by more than 10.0% in parts of northeastern China and the North China Plain, while rice yields were little affected. For China as a whole, the trend in VPD during 1980–2008 increased rice yields by 1.32%,but reduced wheat, maize, and soybean yields by 6.02%, 3.19%, and 7.07%, respectively. Maize and soybean in the arid and semi-arid regions in northern China were more sensitive to the increase in VPD. These findings highlight that climate change can affect crop growth and yield through increasing VPD, and water-saving technologies and agronomic management need to be strongly encouraged to adapt to ongoing climate change. | Shuai ZHANG Fulu TAO Zhao ZHANG | 2017 | Journal of Meteorological Research2017，31，4： | 2 |
| 10 | Changes in rice disasters across China in recent decades and the meteorological and agronomic causes显示文摘 | Fulu Tao Shuai Zhang Zhao Zhang | 2013 | Regional Environmental Change2013，，4： | 2 |
| 11 | Rainfall-Related Weather Indices for Three Main Crops in China显示文摘Rainfall-relatedhazards—deficitrainand excessive rain—inevitably stress crop production,and weather index insurance is one possible financial tool to mitigate such agro-metrological losses.In this study,we investigated where two rainfall-related weather indices—anomaly-based index(AI)and humidity-based index(HI)—could be best used for three main crops(rice,wheat,and maize)in China’s main agricultural zones.A county is defined as an“insurable county”if the correlation between a weather index and yield loss was significant.Among maize-cropping counties,both weather indices identified more insurable counties for deficit rain than for excessive rain(AI:172 vs 63;HI:182 vs 68);moreover,AI identified lower basis risk for deficit rain in most agricultural zones while HI for excessive rain.For rice,the number of AIinsurable counties was higher than the number of HI-insurable counties for deficit rain(274 vs 164),but lower for excessive rain(199 vs 272);basis risks calculated by two weather indices showed obvious difference only in Zone I.Finally,more wheat-insurable counties(AI:196 vs 71;HI:73 vs 59)and smaller basis risk indicate that both weather indices performed better for excessive rain in wheatplanting counties.In addition,most insurable counties showed independent yield loss,but did not necessarily result in effective risk pooling.This study is a primary evaluation of rainfall-related weather indices for the three main crops in China,which will be significantly helpful to the agricultural insurance market and governments’policy making. | Jing Zhang Zhao Zhang Fulu Tao | 2020 | International Journal of Disaster Risk Science2020，11，4： | 2 |
| 12 | Spatial and temporal changes of agro-meteorological disasters affecting maize production in China since 1990显示文摘 | Zhao Zhang Yi Chen Pin Wang Shuai Zhang Fulu Tao Xiaofei Liu | 2014 | Natural Hazards2014，，3： | 1 |
| 13 | Modelling the impactsof weather and climate variability on crop productivity over alarge area: a new process-based model development,optimization, and uncertainties analysis显示文摘 | Tao Fulu Yokozawa M Zhang Zhao | 2009 | Agricultural andForest Meteorology2009，149，5： | 1 |
| 14 | Climate changes and trends in phcnology and yields of field crops in China, 1981 - 2000显示文摘 | Tao Fulu Yokozawa Masayuki Xu Yinlong ct al | 2006 | Agricultural and Forest Meteorology2006，，138： | 1 |
| 15 | Surface water quality and its control in a river with intensive human impacts:a ease study of the Xiangjiang River, China显示文摘 | ZHANG Zhao TAO Fulu DU Juan | 2010 | J Environ Manage2010，91，12： | 1 |
| 16 | Modeling the rice phenology and production in China with SIMRIW: sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation显示文摘庄稼模型是为在米饭开发和生产模仿气候变化的影响的柔韧的工具,但是通常为特定的车站和变化被设计。这研究集中于为大米天气关系(SIMRIW ) 打电话给模拟模型的一个更能适应的模型。模型在最影响模型的中国,和参数上在主要米饭生产区域被校准并且验证输出在敏感分析被决定。这些敏感参数在不同生态的地区被估计。在不同生态的地区收割系统的单个、双的米饭的模仿的结果然后被比较。SIMRIW 的精确性被发现取决于一些关键参数。用优化参数, SIMRIW 适当地在不同生态的地区在单身者和两倍收割系统模仿了米饭物候学和收益。一些参数大部分依赖于生态的地区和米饭类型,并且可以在生态的地区之中反映不同气候条件和米饭变化。 | Shuai ZHANG Fulu TAO Runhe SHI | 2014 | Frontiers of Earth Science2014，8，4： | 1 |
| 17 | Climate changes and trends in phonology and yields of field crops in China, 1981-2000显示文摘 | Tao Fulu Yokozawa Masayuki Xu Yinlong | 2006 | Agricultural and Forest Meteorology2006，138，： | 1 |
| 18 | Soil Vulnerability and Sensitivity to Acid Deposition in China显示文摘 | Fulu Tao Yousay Hayashi Erda Lin | 2002 | Water Air and Soil Pollution (-)2002，，1： | 1 |
| 19 | Remote Sensing of crop production in China by production efficiency models:Models comparisons estimates and uncertainties显示文摘 | Fulu tao Masayuki Yokozawa Zhao Zhang | 2005 | Ecology Modeling2005，183，4： | 1 |
| 20 | Energy partitioning and environmental influence factors in different vegetation types in the GEWEX Asian Monsoon Experiment显示文摘在精力之上的环境影响在不同植被类型的区域平衡(即,在在泰国的 Kog 妈并且在在俄国,在在中国西藏的 Amdo 并且在在蒙古的 Arvaikheer 的草地,和在在泰国的 Tak 的混合农田的雅库次克的森林) 在 GEWEX 亚洲季风,实验被调查。我们调查了的地点是地理上并且 climatologically 不同的;并且因而在温度(T) ,水蒸汽压力赤字(VPD ) ,土壤潮湿(SM ) ,和降水(PPT ) 有相当大的变化。在 5 月 10 月期间,网放射流动(R < 潜水艇 class= “ a-plus-plus ” > n )( 在 W?? | Fengshan LIU Fulu TAO Shenggong LI Shuai ZHANG Dengpan XIAO Meng WANG | 2014 | Frontiers of Earth Science2014，8，4： | 1 |
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