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| 1 | Seasonal Forecasts of the Summer 2016 Yangtze River Basin Rainfall显示文摘The Yangtze River has been subject to heavy flooding throughout history,and in recent times severe floods such as those in 1998 have resulted in heavy loss of life and livelihoods.Dams along the river help to manage flood waters,and are important sources of electricity for the region.Being able to forecast high-impact events at long lead times therefore has enormous potential benefit.Recent improvements in seasonal forecasting mean that dynamical climate models can start to be used directly for operational services.The teleconnection from El Ni ?no to Yangtze River basin rainfall meant that the strong El Ni ?no in winter 2015/16 provided a valuable opportunity to test the application of a dynamical forecast system.This paper therefore presents a case study of a real-time seasonal forecast for the Yangtze River basin,building on previous work demonstrating the retrospective skill of such a forecast.A simple forecasting methodology is presented,in which the forecast probabilities are derived from the historical relationship between hindcast and observations.Its performance for2016 is discussed.The heavy rainfall in the May–June–July period was correctly forecast well in advance.August saw anomalously low rainfall,and the forecasts for the June–July–August period correctly showed closer to average levels.The forecasts contributed to the confidence of decision-makers across the Yangtze River basin.Trials of climate services such as this help to promote appropriate use of seasonal forecasts,and highlight areas for future improvements. | Philip E. BETT Adam A. SCAIFE Chaofan LI Chris HEWITT Nicola GOLDING Peiqun ZHANG Nick DUNSTONE Doug M. SMITH Hazel E. THORNTON Riyu LU Hong-Li REN | 2018 | Advances in Atmospheric Sciences2018，35，8： | 3 |
| 2 | Underground excavation shape optimization using an evolutionary procedure显示文摘 | G Ren J V Smith | 2005 | Computers and Geotechnics2005，，3： | 1 |
| 3 | Underground excavation shape optimization using an evolutionary, procedure 显示文摘 | Ren G Smith J V Tang J W | 2005 | Computers and Geotechnics2005，，32： | 1 |
| 4 | Pregabalin Reduces Pain in Patients With Chronic Pancreatitis in a Randomized, Controlled Trial显示文摘 | S?ren Schou Olesen Stefan A.W. Bouwense Oliver H.G. Wilder–Smith Harry van Goor Asbj?rn Mohr Drewes | 2011 | Gastroenterology2011，，2： | 1 |
| 5 | Descending Inhibitory Pain Modulation Is Impaired in Patients With Chronic Pancreatitis显示文摘 | S?ren Schou Olesen Christina Brock Anne Lund Krarup Peter Funch–Jensen Lars Arendt–Nielsen Oliver H. Wilder–Smith Asbj?rn Mohr Drewes | 2010 | Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology2010，，8： | 1 |
| 6 | An Industry Evaluation of the Reuse, Recy cling, and Reduction of Spent CCA Wood Products显示文摘 | Robert L Smith Ren -Jye Shiau | 1999 | Forest Products Journal1999，48，28： | 1 |
| 7 | Bats are natural reservoirs of SAP, S-like coronaviruses 显示文摘 | Li W Shi Z Yu M Ren W Smith C Epstein JH Wang H Crameri G Hu Z Zhang H Zhang J McEachern J Field H Daszak P Eaton BT Zhang S Wang LF | 2005 | Sci- ence2005，310，5748： | 1 |
| 8 | Underground excavation shape optimization using an evolutionary procedure显示文摘 | REN G SMITH J V TANG J W | 2005 | Computers and Geotechnics2005，32，2： | 1 |
| 9 | Werner Syndrome protein, WRN, protects cells from DNA damage induced by the Benzene metabolite hydroquinone显示文摘 | Ren X Lim S Smith MT | 2009 | Toxicol Sci2009，107，2： | 1 |
| 10 | Gene encoding polygalacturonase inhibitor in apple fruit is developmentally regulated and activated by wounding and fungal infection显示文摘 | Chenglin Yao William S. Conway Ruihua Ren David Smith Gavin S. Ross Carl E. Sams | 1999 | Plant Molecular Biology1999，，6： | 1 |
| 11 | Underground excavation shape optimization using an evolutionary procedure显示文摘 | G. Ren J.V. Smith J.W. Tang Y.M. Xie | 2005 | Computers and Geotechnics2005，，2： | 1 |
| 12 | Retention and transport of silver nanoparticles in a ceramic porous medium used for point-of-use water treatment显示文摘 | REN D J SMITH J A | 2013 | Environ Sci Technol2013，47，38： | 1 |
| 13 | A negative Poisson's ratio carbon fibre composite using a negative Poisson's ratio yarn reinforcement 显示文摘 | MILLER W REN Z SMITH C W | 2012 | Composites Science and Technology2012，，72： | 1 |
| 14 | Experimental and numerical investigations of the deformation of soft materials under tangential loading 显示文摘 | Ren X J Smith C W Evans K E | 2006 | International Journal of Solids & Structures2006，43，7： | 1 |
| 15 | Soil seed banks in European grasslands: does land use affect regeneration perspectives 显示文摘 | Bekker RM Verweil G L Smith REN Reine R Bakker JP Schneider S | 1997 | Journal of Applied Ecology1997，34，： | 1 |
| 16 | Underground exca- vation shape optimization using an evolutionary procedure 显示文摘 | Ren G Smith J V Tang J W | 2005 | Computers and seotechnies2005，32，2： | 1 |
| 17 | Reduced Cortical Thickness of Brain Areas Involved in Pain Processing in Patients With Chronic Pancreatitis显示文摘 | Jens Br?ndum Fr?kj?r Stefan A.W. Bouwense S?ren Schou Olesen Flemming H. Lundager Simon F. Eskildsen Harry van Goor Oliver H.G. Wilder–Smith Asbj?rn Mohr Drewes | 2012 | Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology2012，，4： | 1 |
| 18 | Pregabalin Reduces Pain in Patients With Chronic Pancreatitis in a Randomized, Controlled Trial显示文摘 | S?ren Schou Olesen Stefan A.W. Bouwense Oliver H.G. Wilder–Smith Harry van Goor Asbj?rn Mohr Drewes | 2011 | Gastroenterology2011，，2： | 1 |
| 19 | Underground excavation shape optimization using an evolutionary procedure显示文摘 | REN G SMITH J V TANG J W | 2005 | Computers and Geotechnics2005，32，2： | 1 |
| 20 | Underground excavation shape optimization using an evolutionary procedure显示文摘 | Ren G Smith J V Tang J W | 2005 | Computers and Geotechnics2005，32，2： | 1 |
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